Franak Vyachorka, an opposition Belarusian journalist, says that Lukashenka would be endangering his ability to remain in power if he ordered the Belarusian army into Ukraine because most of his army is not that loyal to him and does not see a reason to get involved in Russia’s war there.
Except for about 2,000 troops in units the Belarusian dictator has used against demonstrators and that have sworn personal loyalty to him, most of the regular army not only isn’t especially loyal but is openly hostile to Russian forces and the idea of a campaign in Ukraine, he continues (nv.ua/opinion/lukashenko-uhodit-v-otstavku-kto-vozglavit-belarus-poslednie-novosti-50282437.html).
If an order came to advance, Vyachorka says, they would drag their feet “with a partisan Belarusian spirit,” effectively undermining the order and Lukashenka in turn. As a result, he says, “the Lukashenka…
